what goes up must come down

Some of you may be worried, because McCain's numbers are in an upswing.
Remember: a bounce does not a trend make.

So now for some perspective:

Good overviews and analyses of the polls. Nate Silver--things are pretty much where we expected them to be. Evangelicals will move a little to McCain, Clinton democrats move a little to Obama. It will take a few days for us to see how the two conventions wash out, but so far there is no evidence that McCain's convention shifted anything dramatically. Because this is a state-by-state election, not a national contest, Kos has a look at the state-by-state numbers, which are still good for Obama.

No more "oh noes!" Here's a good response to those who demand "Obama, you must hit back, harder, now! You've got to get McCain to be on the defensive!" Well, one smart guy points out that McCain IS playing defensive, trying to catch up as the "change" candidate. Remember in the primaries, when all the other candidates tried to poach Obama's turf? And, just think, could this guy be right, that the Obama campaign is exactly where they want to--and where they've planned to--be? Finally, a great primer/rant on why not to panic.

Great new ad from Obama. And voila! Look at this neato ad Obama's made...hitting back against the maverick meme, but also sticking to the message: mccain is no different than bush.

The truth will out (i think). The press is starting to report Palin's many lies. Here's the AP actually noting Palin's earmark requests. WashPo calls McCain's new ad a "whopper." And even the Wall Street Journal is getting in on the fun.

Still feeling worried? Then make a little donation (via my fundraising page here) to soothe your nerves. And take a look at the great voter reg numbers in Georgia, which is what's happening in all the battleground states...if you want to volunteer in PA, let me know!