9.30.2008
what's behind us and what's to come
We've just had the first of the presidential debates, which poll after polll showed that viewers' estimation of Obama grew. It was, for many people, their first time really listening to and watching Obama, and he managed to move many undecideds and independents in a positive direction.
We've also had the media--both news and entertainment--start to really go after the McCain/Palin campaign, with conservatives and mainstream journalists calling on Palin to drop out, and with comedians hitting hard against Palin by basically repeating her gibberish verbatim (Tina Fey), and going to town on McCain's fake-suspension of his campaign (Letterman). The SNL skit truly is must-see TV.
With the national polls going Obama's way (with 5-9 point leads in the 4 national tracking polls, and expected to go higher today), we can expect the McCain campaign to go into full bizarro creepy nasty mode. They've said that now they're going to start attacking.
And today is the last day of September, and the last week of voter registration.
Please give another donation to the campaign--it's important that we keep gaining the resources needed to win in places like Indiana--where we have 14 campaign offices and McCain has had none, and where's McCain's starting to have to defend this age-old red state--and in North Carolina, where two recent polls give the advantage to Obama by a couple of points.
We really can do this thing, and I'm asking you to help out by making another contribution before midnight tonight, to make our September fundraising as strong as possible.
And if you're interested in volunteering, please let me know and I'll get you hooked up with the right people!
9.25.2008
bailouts, debates, and the never-ending lies
Before we get to the Fourth Huge Gimmick of McCain's campaign, which I see as a kind of "chicken-axis" around which the current games are being played (the four big gimmicks: 1. gax tax holiday, 2. gotta cancel the first day of the Repub convention when Bush & Cheney are scheduled to speak because of Hurricane Ike, 3. The Alaskan Wonder, 4. "I'm suspending my campaign and we should forego the debate")...let's review quickly what he is trying to distract us from:
The Fundamentals of Our Economy Are Strong.
Here's a starter timeline on McCain's statements/actions on the financial crisis. Please note: As of Tuesday, he hadn't even read the Paulson bailout proposal (all of three pages!). Here's a great review of how the campaign-obsessed media didn't see the crisis coming.
Quick, Look Over Here! No, No, No, Don't Ask Me About...
- Sleazy Lobbying and Lying. Wednesday morning, McCain was hit with more actual reporting on his campaign manager's relationship and influence peddling with FannieMae/Freddie Mac (guess what, his campaign manager Rick Davis is STILL an officer of his "former" company, which was getting 15k/month to do nothing but maintain access for the mortgage companies to John McCain, and the campaign lied about it repeatedly). When asked, they didn't deny it...but very soon after came the distractions...
- The fact that people are backing away from McPain, slowly: ABC News/Wash Post poll that showed Obama up 9 points and making huge strides with independents and white women voters. Just one of many good data points: "Over the past two weeks, the percentage of independents with favorable views of Palin dropped from 60 percent to 48 percent." And it's not just in the national polls--state polls, such as this one in Colorado, show that people are reacting negatively to Palin and moving toward Obama. And then, there's this: Obama now holds a double-digit lead on the question who's better to lead in this crisis.
- Keating Who? Also, we can't have ONE DRAMA-FREE MOMENT BECAUSE PEOPLE MIGHT REMEMBER that guess who...John McCain...was involved in the last major financial scandal in the US. If you need a refresher on McCain and the Keating 5 Savings and Loan scandal, you can watch a 97 second video right here. For a little perspective--the Keating 5 cost the US $3 billion....
So...time for another hail mary pass! McCain decides that he--he who hasn't been to vote in the Senate since APRIL (even Tim Johnson, stroke victim, has voted more than McCain)--needs to swoop in and save us all. Wed. afternoon, he calls for a suspension of his campaign--which he did by appearing all three nightly news shows, grandstanding, allowing his surrogates to continue to attack Obama, running ads, and actually not suspending on-the-ground campaign activities AT ALL--and for the debate to be postponed. Better yet, later that day, the McCain campaign suggested that the VP debate be rescheduled, and the first debate should take place on Oct 2...that's right, they don't want us to hear her at all!
And there's good reason why. Her Wed night interview with Katie Couric has been widely panned, and her poll numbers have continued to decline. Now almost 50% say she's not prepared to be vice president. You can watch the pain here. And then today she spoke off the cuff with reporters for a few minutes at the site of the World Trade Center...here's some more pain. And here's a video of one of her spiritual leaders, who is an honest to god witchhunter, laying hands on her, casting out evil, and praying for her political ascension.
But don't look or read or think about any of that! I agree with some of the pundits who say that this latest stunt is pure Rove politics...just try to win each day's newscycle at any cost. And to some extent they won yesterday, because they moved the sleazy lobbyist story off the headlines, and barely anybody was talking about Palin at the UN (described as "speed dating world leaders"), or the lame media revolt trying to make sure they could actually have a reporter in the room during her meetings and not just a camera...They also were able to bury Campbell Brown (CNN) actually stating "Free Sarah Palin!" as she protested what she interprets as McCain's sexism in not letting Palin speak to the press.
I'm Needed in Warshington! I'm A Hero, Dammit!
Last night, the media response and the public polling showed that this gambit had largely been seen as a gimmick (although today many were still blithely saying that McCain had suspended his campaign, even tho he clearly had changed nothing). And then lo and behold, George W. Bush all-of-a-sudden thought it would be a good idea to have the candidates (even tho Harry Reid had said stay away, it's not productive for presidential politics to get injected into this situation) come to D.C. and have a nice photo op. Made for a lot of pretty pictures of McCain in the Senate...where, did I mention...he hasn't voted since APRIL! So a meeting was scheduled for today.
Obama said, "No." And "the president has to be able to do more than one thing at a time."
There was some biting humor, in the midst of the drama, last night, when McCain tried to ditch Letterman by saying he had to run to DC and save the economy, but Letterman wasn't having ANY of it. It's actually pretty good TV. And then McCain actually did an interview with Couric instead. What will this man NOT lie about?
Today, it looked like some kind of compromise had been forged with Dems and Repubs that included accountability measures, a staged rollout of money, help for homeowners, getting a piece of the profits back when these companies revive (I should say "if"!), but did not apparently include bankruptcy reforms, which was a dealbreaker for Repubs. Word was spread around 1-2 pm that things were moving forward. Then McCain swooped into town, had a meeting with House minority whip John Boehner, and all of a sudden Boehner backpedals. In the white house photo op meeting, Boehner starts talking about the "other" core principles agreed upon by House Repubs, which hadn't been seen by anyone...this gummed up the works, and made Chris Dodd and Barney Frank, and the leading Repub senators on the banking committee. Turns out, we learn later, that what McCain wants is more tax breaks and less regulation. SURPRISE.
Here's Chris Dodd being very clear: McCain's posturing has derailed everything with his huge gimmick. "
Now it's back to the drawing board, reconvening at 8 p.m. tonight.
For the record, I'm not in favor of the bailout in its current or proposed construction, for all kinds of reasons that I'm sure you've heard about. And I'm in good company on this.
I do think that something needs to be done, and I do think that Dodd and Frank are negotiating in good faith in a horribly impossible situation. I was heartened to hear Dodd last night on one of the shows, and I think the Dems have done a lot to make this a better piece of legislation. In the end, the Republican shenanigans may have bought us a little time to make a better bill. But they are also making the public ever more distrustful of the ability of government to actually work together to come up with solutions. There was movement forward, and now hackery has scuttled it.
What I'm left with is this: I think the ways that McCain has gambled, postured, and distracted throughout the last week (as the epitome of the campaign as a whole) says a good deal about what kind of president he'd be, and how little he trusts the American people...and how little faith he has in Sarah Palin. If there was ever a Manchurian Candidate, I think this would be he.
9.19.2008
the good friday edition
And, after doing so, we smile.
For your pleasure:
- A great graphic of Palin's plunging approval rating.
- Focus group undecideds in Florida are moving toward Obama: Palin scares them to death.
- Obama's regained lead in national tracking polls; Obama is in a better position in the state-by-state race than he was prior to the RNC. A summary of this week's polls here.
- Dems continue to strongly lead in voter registrations in key states. See esp. Pennsylvania: "Pennsylvania added 107,000 registered Democrats from April to early September, while Republicans added 2,700. Democrats already led registration there."
- Palin "slips" and mentions the "Palin-McCain Administration"--good for laughs from lots of pundits
- Better laughs here: watch Keith Olbermann condense Palin's interview with Sean Hannity into 62 seconds. I'll give you a hint: she uses the word "reform" A LOT.
- Remember the Keating 5? Neither do I. Here's a little primer (2.5 mins) to get you up to speed, and it connects McCain's role as a deregulator from that scandal to the present-day crisis. I think it's safe to say that McCain's role in the Savings and Loan debacle will become fodder for the campaign presently.
Good news on anti-voter suppression efforts! John Conyers is calling out McCain on his party's efforts to disenfranchise homeowners in Michigan who are undergoing foreclosures. Obama's suing to prevent the "caging" of voters, or challenging their right to vote through various processes, and launching a huge voter protection effort to have lawyers at the polls.
9.16.2008
the economy, silly season, fading Palin, as the worm turns, little treats, and more
It's been a few days, and there's a lot to catch up on.
But before we go on: I've included a bunch of new email addresses in this mailing--if you don't want to receive semi-regular updates on the campaign and general politics, please let me know and I'll remove your name right away. If you want to take a look at my previous email blasts, you can see them on my blog (which is missing the last week or two of posts, will be updated soon).
First, briefly, the economy:
- McCain thinks the "fundamentals are strong."
- Obama criticizes McCain's call for a commission to look into the bank collapse as "the oldest Washington stunt in the book...You pass the buck to a commission to study [it] . . . We know how we got into this mess. What we need now is leadership that get us out. I'll provide it. John McCain won't."
- McCain advisor tries to give McCain credit for the Blackberry
- The talking point that went awry: Carly Fiorina, McCain's economic advisor, asserts that neither Palin nor McCain could run a company...
- More false balance: CNN's Candy Crowley says it's not her job to "tell you whether [the lying from both campaigns] is equal or not"--well, who's job is it, if not journalists'?
- Saturday Night Live gets into the act: Tina Fey as Sarah Palin
- Palin's popularity starts to decline as people get to know her.
- Good coverage of the largest political protest in Alaska--women against Palin
- Obama regains ground in national tracking polls
- And McCain seems to be getting a little upset that things aren't going so well...
- David Ignatius (Washington Post), Richard Cohen (WashPo), David Brooks--
- Fox News's Megyn Kelly is challening McCain's flunkies, and the traveling press corps actually held a miniprotest today on the campaign plane.
- The Wall St. Journal has taken, as well, to correcting McCain's lies--regularly! Here they are correcting his lie from his appearance on The View (watch here!) that Palin's never pursued earmarks.
"Golden Week" in Ohio!!!
One of the best opportunities we've got: "golden week" in Ohio--one week during which we can register new voters and they can vote early! It's like "banking votes" for the election. Help out with this effort by going to Ohio or contributing directly to vans and other costs to make this a big push.
Palin's Lying Problem?
I'm starting to think that Palin's lying is just compulsive, rather than tactical: She continues to lie about the teleprompter failing during her RNC speech. She cut funding for the Special Olympics, but promised she would be an advocate for special needs children. Andrew Sullivan has been tracking "the Odd Lies of Sarah Palin," and is up to ten as of this writing (teleprompter, the percent of energy from Alaska, habeas corpus, and it goes on and on...
Palin's Troopergate Problem
Palin is now fighting the Troopergate investigation, which she embraced just a few months ago, and it now seems like she can't get her stories straight. The state official who was allegedly pressured to fire Palin's ex-brother in law has now come out and baldly stated that Palin lied to ABC news.
Little Treats:
- Great line from Obama: John McCain's trying to say he's all about change. "If you believe that, I've got a bridge in Alaska to sell you!"
- Amazing pictures: near-empty McCain rally (and palin fans leave during mccain's speech in florida today), awesome turnout in Colorado for Obama
- Biden kicks some ass!
- Rundown of recent, hard-hitting ads against McCain
- Even John McCain's cousin is calling him out.
- Donate (through my fundraising page, or elsewhere!)
- Make sure you're registered and/or request an absentee ballot
- Volunteer
Every night this week from 5-9 PM; Shifts are 5-9pm, 5-7pm and 7-9pm. Please arrive 10 minutes early for a brief training. @ Teamsters Union -- 216 W. 14th St., 6th Floor MUST RSVP! Please RSVP to nyobamavolunteers@gmail.com
9/20, this Sat
9.10.2008
the "damn, this is a nasty campaign" edition
until then...
viral video--that is, pass it on! (it doesn't go viral just sitting in your inbox)
- enough is enough! obama's pushback on the fabricated "lipstick on a pig" controversy
- a funny, illuminating look at "earmark reform" sarah palin-style
- smart AND good-looking: thank you, matt damon!
- not really video, but still worth passing on: obama tax cut calculator
- palin's first interview (tomorrow) with abc will be a sham
- charlie gibson is known to let mccain lies slide
- mccain embraces the staged rally (hint: rove et al is in control, which means there's much, much more crap to come.)
Again, a call to action:
- as always, please donate.
- volunteer, if you can.
- here's tools for letter writing--to newspapers, on notable blogs and news sites...if you have an opinion about what's going on, about a particular issue, this is one way to help change the conversation
- and please read and pass along a letter against Sarah Palin, collecting and posting comments from women across the country on this website
9.08.2008
what goes up must come down
Remember: a bounce does not a trend make.
So now for some perspective:
Good overviews and analyses of the polls. Nate Silver--things are pretty much where we expected them to be. Evangelicals will move a little to McCain, Clinton democrats move a little to Obama. It will take a few days for us to see how the two conventions wash out, but so far there is no evidence that McCain's convention shifted anything dramatically. Because this is a state-by-state election, not a national contest, Kos has a look at the state-by-state numbers, which are still good for Obama.
No more "oh noes!" Here's a good response to those who demand "Obama, you must hit back, harder, now! You've got to get McCain to be on the defensive!" Well, one smart guy points out that McCain IS playing defensive, trying to catch up as the "change" candidate. Remember in the primaries, when all the other candidates tried to poach Obama's turf? And, just think, could this guy be right, that the Obama campaign is exactly where they want to--and where they've planned to--be? Finally, a great primer/rant on why not to panic.
Great new ad from Obama. And voila! Look at this neato ad Obama's made...hitting back against the maverick meme, but also sticking to the message: mccain is no different than bush.
The truth will out (i think). The press is starting to report Palin's many lies. Here's the AP actually noting Palin's earmark requests. WashPo calls McCain's new ad a "whopper." And even the Wall Street Journal is getting in on the fun.
Still feeling worried? Then make a little donation (via my fundraising page here) to soothe your nerves. And take a look at the great voter reg numbers in Georgia, which is what's happening in all the battleground states...if you want to volunteer in PA, let me know!
9.05.2008
the short edition
Stimulating the base...the democratic base! Volunteers coming out of the woodwork...One great story from LA, and another from somewhere else...
Apparently, the McCain campaign tried to use wounded troops as a prop, and f-ed up big time. The image shown behind McCain during his acceptance speech (snore) was Walter Reed MIDDLE SCHOOL...not the Walter Reed veterans hospital...and school administrators are not happy about it..
you know that cute talking point about how palin is such a maverick that she cut government spending by getting rid of the governor's plane, by selling it on ebay, for a profit! well, actually she tried to sell it on ebay, no one nibbled, so she sold it, through a broker, at a loss...
and last night, the mccain campaign pimped 9/11 to make us afraid...and keith olbermann calls them on it, and apologizes that such extended, and graphic, footage was played. thank you, keith!
excellent tv alert: monday night, obama will be on keith olbermann's countdown, and that will be followed by the debut of rachel maddow's new show!
9.04.2008
no longer reeling from the virtriol, praise be. (but i haven't seen tonight's speeches yet...)
Wow. That was a lot of nasty. Watching last night, I felt like I'd been thrown back in time, and Newt Gingrich was leading a charge on Congress....the pitchfork brigade, as Pat Buchanan lovingly called it back then.
But it may have been just a tad too nasty, too petty for most people to stomach. Sure, the Repub haters were thrilled to get their hate on, and that self-righteous sneer comes very easily. And they don't have a record, a sitting president, or a top-ticket candidate to feel good about.
But the night was full of cognitive dissonance, from Rudy Giuliani criticizing Obama on the grounds of cosmopolitanism...all while standing in front of a picture of the NYC skyline... to Mitt Romney blaming everything on liberals and east coast elites (um, he was gov. of Massachusetts, which passed universal health care and gay marriage while he was there...)--as if the Repubs hadn't controlled D.C. for 6 of the last 7 years...
Anyway, here's some tidbits to brighten your night, and smooth out your wrinkled gray matter:
First, (a snippet of) Obama's great response (click for video).
You're hearing an awful lot about me. Most of which is not true.
What you're not hearing is a lot about you.
Focus groups in Michigan and Nevada didn't seem to like Palin all that much, Indiana man-on-the-street interviews showed the same thing, and Sunday night, Minnesota CSPAN viewers didn't think much of McCain's pick, either. A choice quote, for your pleasure, from a 66 year-old independent: "She was a Republican novelty act with a sophomoric script. It was not even a speech I would expect for someone running for the local PTA, much less for vice president."
Palin repulsed moderate McCain supporters, Republicans, and Hillary supporters: Field reports.
- Ron Paul supporter, registered Republican, now will vote for Obama.
- Immediate negative responses on media websites' blogs.
- Republican husband wavers all summer, finally comes on board.
- Sister-in-law dumps GOP.
- Two registered Republicans come on board.
- 102 year old, W.Texas grandma finally decides to vote Obama
- "Sarah Palin vs. my mother" (Guess who wins?)
- New to volunteering, another joins the campaign
- And another first-time volunteer
- Anti-Obama Hillary supporter changes her mind
Unintended consequences?
Nate Silver says Chicago's Obama headquarters have got to be happy
And it worked wonders – for the Dems.
And here's a great analysis why Palin's speech was great, and why it bombed anyway.
And the Scandal Update
- Palin's handwriting on earmark: "we did well!"
- Emerging email trail on Troopergate. The Alaskan police union is filing a complaint.
- Cindy McCain's outfit last night: worth 300k!
The AP actually does some factchecking on Palin's speech
Joe Klein (Time Magazine) dares his colleague not to crumble, and to continue to look into Palin's record.
Roger Simon, of Politico.com, snarks up an "apology" . One of the only times I've ever agreed with that guy!
fired up!
Sarah Palin and John McCain have decided to run a small campaign full of old ideas, to divide and distract us, to stir up old resentments and fan the embers of the culture wars. These two are both warriors, of a sort--and we can't let them lead us down the path toward increased international conflict and hyperpartisan social conservatism. The challenges we face are too complicated, the geopolitical field is too dynamic, and the real longing of the American people for leadership is too great to reboot that old 1980s game of us vs. them.
As most of you know, I've put some time and some money into this campaign, and I have to say it feels great. I volunteered during the primaries, I've started going on daytrips to Philly to register and turn out voters, and whenever I can, I blog and digest the news for friends and family.
I hope that you'll join me in volunteering, if you can, and I hope you will consider supporting the Obama campaign financially. If we're going to win, we're going to do it on the ground--that means more than 30 field offices in Wisconsin, it means full-time organizers in the 13 offices in Philly alone...and it means supplies, office space, phone lines, and all that's needed to run a grassroots campaign.
I've set a personal fundraising goal for the campaign, outside of my own donations--will you please make a donation and help me reach my goal?
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Now, about that speech:
In short: repubs 2008 is a lot like repubs 1992--distract and divide.
Last night, very late, i collected a lot of links to interesting stories of people donating and volunteering for the first time since seeing Palin (and Giuliani, and Romney)...and will get them pretty for you and send them out this evening.
In the meantime, in case you are feeling jittery, this is a great take on the impact of Palin's speech, and her candidacy. the upshot?
So my reaction: St. Paul loved this speech… and so did Chicago...Fire up both bases equally, it's not even close. Obama wins going away. In 2008, there are so many more Democrats, numerically.
9.03.2008
am i rubbernecking?
WHOA...now tell me what you really think.
- Top GOP journalist, Peggy Noonan, and GOP strategist, Mike Murphy, caught on live microphone: "It's over...political bullshit...gimmicky."
- Mike Murphy tells Chuck Todd, on the record: "I love John McCain to death, but this is the stupidest thing in the world."
- Who is Levi Johnston, and what does he have to say? On his MySpace page, he writes
- "I'm a f - - -in' redneck . . . I live to play hockey. I like to go camping and hang out with the boys, do some fishing, shoot some s- - - and just f - - -in' chillin' I guess...Ya f - - - with me I'll kick [your] ass." And here's the kicker: "I don't want kids." (Isn't anyone going to say that this is technically a prosecutable crime (date rape) since she's 17 and he's 18?)
- Pulling a Cheney: Palin is refusing to testify in the Troopergate scandal, and also and trying to run out the clock. She IS a Republican, all right!
- Palin stumps for the Bridge to Nowhere, with pics!
- Palin was on McCain's anti-earmark shameful "pork" list.
- Fairbanks, Alaska--Republican mayor endorses Obama
- DNC viewership higher than RNC
- Early reactions, a la the Gallup poll, make it appear that since Palin pick, Repub women are going to McCain, but independent and Dem women are going to Obama--which means that McCain's strategy is not, at least initially, succeeding.
- Both history and actuarial tables show why this vp choice matters. Nearly 1 in 3 vice presidents have ascended to the presidency, 9 without being elected; there is a 1 in 3 chance that McCain won't live until he's 80.
- Only 36 black delegates at RNC, at a 40 year low (1.5% of total delegates)
- National Enquirer following a story now that Palin had an affair with her husband's business partner. McCain camp is denying it...but then, so did Edwards.
- Another Palin firing scandal?
- And some kind of scandal in relation to a big dairy operation?
9.02.2008
the good, the questionable, and the ugly (bonus pic)
- While the Sarah Palin storm sucks up all the air in newsrooms across the country, Obama's out there doing all the right things. And the polls are showing a positive trend upward.
- The media actually have started asking real, reasonable questions about Palin's experience. And having to start every other sentence with "but the fact is..." is not a good sign.
- Did Rove really just say that Palin was "not a governing decision, but a campaign decision?" Since when does Rove speak truthfully?
- Did McCain really just cancel an appearance on Larry King's show? Since when does tough-guy McCain shy away from talking to his buddies in the media?
- Did Charlie Black, McCain's campaign manager, really just say that this election is not about the issues? Since when does...oh wait, that's right, McCain's campaign has ONLY been stunts and biopics, not focused on the issues...
- Is McCain's campaign stalling the investigation into "troopergate"? That's not maverickyness we can believe in!
- Is she really crying sexism, after criticizing Hillary for "whining"?
- Do they ALL have ties to Jack Abramoff? Apparently her lobbyist worked for Abramoff, too~!
- Palin uses religious language in stark ways--hoping that Iraq is a "task from God," and that it's "God's will...to get that gas line built."
- Does Palin have her very own Rev. Wright? Who said: "The fires of hell are frozen glaciers compared to my hatred for the American government..."
Palin sought to ban books, tried to get librarian who protested fired.
Her company (co-owned car wash) was SHUT DOWN by the state--after she became governor--for noncompliance and for not paying requisite fees...
Palin finagled $27 million in earmarks for Wasilla, population 6k. I love the smell of a reformer in the morning!
Palin slashed funding for programs for teen mothers who need a place to live!
Palin got her first passport in 2007. Said she traveled to Ireland, in addition to visiting the troops in Germany and Kuwait. Turns out Ireland was just to refuel. Truthiness!
And whoa! Check out this pic. That is not the cover headline they were hoping for, I bet!
9.01.2008
The Palin Edition, part deux (plus a few choice tidbits)
The Palin Meltdown in Slo-Mo
On the same day that the Republicans were forced to dramatically cut back their convention activities, the Palin Meltdown unfolded with extraordinary speed. It's worth pondering the totality of what happened today, in a mere half day...
* The news that Palin once backed the Bridge to Nowhere went national.
* It emerged that Palin has links to the bizarro Alaska Independence Party, which harbors the goal of seceding from the union that McCain and Palin seek to lead.
[update: the AP confirms she was a member of this group* The news broke that as governor, Palin relied on an earmark system she now opposes. Taken along with the Bridge to Nowhere stuff, this threatens to undercut her reformist image, something that was key to her selection as McCain's Veep candidate.
and a commenter to this blog points us to more information, including video of Palin addressing the AIP]* The news broke that Palin's 17-year-old daughter became pregnant out of wedlock at a time when the conservative base had finally started rallying behind McCain's candidacy.
* Barely moments after McCain advisers put out word that McCain had known of Bristol Palin's pregnancy, the Anchorage Daily News revealed that Palin's own spokesperson hadn't known about it only two days ago.
* A senior McCain adviser at the Republican convention was forced into the rather embarrassing position of arguing that McCain had known about the pregnancy "last week" -- without saying what day last week he knew about it.
* It came out that Republican lawyers are up in Alaska vetting Palin -- now, more than 72 hours after it was announced that she'd been picked.
* Palin lawyered up in relation to the trooper-gate probe in Alaska -- a move that ensures far more serious attention to the story from the major news orgs.
What else will come out today? After all, there are still six hours left until September 2nd...
--------------
What else will come out today? Well, since that writing, it seems that the McCain campaign has hired Tucker Eskew, the lovely man who directed the 2004 smear against McCain, accusing him of having fathered an illegitimate black child...
Democratic women are not moving to McCain--pass it on! They do not like the Palin pick.
A successful convention. Obama's speech was watched by more than 40 million people; it was well received and he's seen a good response in the polls--not just on who people would pick, but also on his leadership and his favorables. These polls were taken post-Palin, so that's good news for us.
And here's good old Sarah, in all her glory--
She wants to know, "what does the VP do, anyway?"
She's a little confused about the pledge, "under God," and the founding fathers...
She laughs as radio talk host calls her political foe (who is also a cancer survivor) a "bitch" and a "cancer" who "needs to go away".
A last note: What I hope all of this makes clear is McCain's supremely poor judgment and his dangerous shoot-from-the-hip decisionmaking style. He did not fully vet this VP pick, and he expects us to believe he has the right experience and disposition for the presidency???
The Palin Edition
Evil plot or impetuous hail mary pass?
I'm still trying to sort it out. It's been reported that Rove and McCain's staffers put the kibosh on McCain's preferred pick, Lieberman. It's also been reported that McCain has bowed to the advice of his handlers, in a significant break with his past behavior, now refusing to say much to reporters and being pretty "prickly" about it. Some analysts argue that the Palin pick shows McCain is desperate (and that his internal polling is giving him reason to be so). And we have heard about McCain's actual predilection for playing high-stakes craps, and for gambling. We know he only met her once in person before offering her the position, and that he made his decision after Bill and Hillary Clinton successfully brought together Democrats at the convention. But we also know that voters decide largely on emotional responses, not logical analysis, so we're cautioned to listen to the analysis of George Lakoff (who started us thinking about language and framing after Kerry's loss), which argues that Sarah Palin activates a whole lot of positive emotion in voters, no matter her stance on issues or her level of experience.
Plusses and minuses, and McCain's decision-making process.
One of the most balanced and rational commentaries I've seen is the response from a reporter from Anchorage, on the PBS Newshour (watch here). Many of the above indicators could sway you to believe that McCain is getting internal polling data that have convinced him that he needs to do something radical to shake up his campaign. And his pick will definitely solidify and energize his base, which can help him. It can also turn off women and independents, which can hurt him. This pick is not, foremost, about trying to sway Hillary holdouts. He may get a couple of votes from that group, but by and large Palin is too socially conservative and too inexperienced in comparison to Hillary to take Hillary's place. It does appear that Palin was not comprehensively vetted (an understatement, if there ever was one!). Her hometown paper's archives were not studied, and the McCain campaign did not know she originally supported the Bridge to Nowhere or that she supported a windfall tax on oil profits. Today, we learn that her 17 year old unmarried daughter is 5 months pregnant, and that her husband had a DUI. McCain's people might have known this, and decided to leak it when most of the country is watching Gustav. Who knows.
No matter what the rationale, or the way this plays out, here are some more substantive things you should know:
Dubious claims about reform. Palin is touting herself (and the brainless pundits and news-stenographers are happily parroting her claims) to be a reformer. She may be, to some extent. But two of her biggest claims are patently false:
1) She says she's against wasteful government spending and earmarks. USA Today reports:
While running for governor in 2006, though, Palin backed federal funding for the infamous [Bridge to Nowhere], which McCain helped make a symbol of pork barrel excess. And as mayor of the small town of Wasilla from 1996 to 2002, Palin also hired a Washington lobbying firm that helped secure $8 million in congressionally directed spending projects, known as earmarks...
2) She says she's a fierce anti-corruption reformer, taking on her party (read: Ted Stevens, the head of the Alaskan GOP, currently under indictment). While it does appear that she did create a lot of enemies among Republican in Alaska, Palin was not out to take down Ted Stevens--in fact, she was one of the directors of a 527 (independent campaign group) that was created to support Stevens.
In addition, she's under ethics investigation for potentially exercising inappropriate influence to get her former brother-in-law fired (shorthand in the media: "Troopergate") and her mayoralty was troubled by inappropriate firings there, as well. She should be deposed in the ethics case in September, with the verdict expected by early November.
Dubious definition of feminism. Although she belongs to a group called Feminists for Life, Palin is far to the right on many social issues, including abortion and contraception, than what is conventionally associated with feminism.
Palin has said that she'd oppose abortion in all cases including rape and incest, even for her daughter were her daughter to be raped.
Palin strongly supports abstinence-only education; on the 2006 gubernatorial questionnaire, she was asked the question:
Her response: "Yes, the explicit sex-ed programs will not find my support."
There is some confusion as to where she stands on birth control. I read initially that she is opposed to birth control for married couples; other reporting states that she supports birth control.
And the apparently low levels of support from some of the people who know her.
Two Alaskan newspapers are doubtful about her capacity for the VP position...
Her mother in law doesn't know what she brings to McCain's campaign....
First-hand account of a resident of Wasilla, where Palin was mayor.